Archive for March, 2008

26 March 2008 KRC Post Market Analysis  

Market Commentary

No. of Scrips

Value (Crs.)

Advances

797

5435

Declines

407

7521

Unchanged

28

118

Total

1232

13073

Market Activity: Key share indices slipped marginally and trade was choppy as Asian markets remained mixed and rolled over outstanding positions to the April derivatives series.

At 10.15AM, Sensex was 16180.15, down 37.34 points or 0.2% from Tuesday. Nifty was at 4861.90, down 15.60 points or 0.4%.

The biggest Nifty gainers were Sterlite Industries, up 5%, Hindalco Industries, up 3%, and GAIL India, up 2%. Bank shares were mixed with SBI rising 1% and ICICI Bank down 1.3%. BSE realty and metal indices rose 1% each. Sun Pharmaceutical Industries, down 2.5%, extended losses from Tuesday and SAIL was down 2%.

In the mid trading session, indices extended their fall, down 1%, as investors booked profits after the 6% rise in the previous session. Weak European indices also weighed on the market. At 2.18PM, Sensex was at 16068.83, down 148.66 points or 0.9% from Tuesday. Nifty was at 4827.45, down 50.05 points or 1%. Reliance Industries fell 2% while ICICI Bank and State Bank of India were down 4% and 1%, respectively. NALCO, down 6%, was the worst hit on Nifty. Tata Motors recouped losses and was up 0.4% ahead of a formal announcement on acquisition of Land Rover and Jaguar brands expected later today. PNB, up 2%, was the top Nifty gainer.

Key share indices ended down 1% today as investor’s unwound positions ahead of futures and options contracts expiry Thursday. A weak trend in Asian and European equities kept the mood cautious here. Sensex ended at 16086.83, down 130.66 points or 0.8% from Tuesday. Nifty ended at 4828.85, down 48.65 points or 1%. The biggest Nifty gainer was Tata Steel, up 4%, followed by Idea Cellular, up 3.4%, and HDFC, up 2.8%. Among Nifty laggards were NALCO, down 5%, and HCL Technologies, down 4.5%. Banks and oil and gas shares were the biggest laggards. However, mid-cap and small-cap share bucked the weak trend and the BSE mid-cap and small-cap indices rose 1-2%.

Sector Activity :

Tech stocks showed up trend with exception: Infosys closed up Rs 1499.50 with volumes of Rs 220.08 crs, Satyam closed up at Rs 414.15 with volumes of Rs 59.41 crs, TCS closed up at Rs 878.35 with volumes of Rs 47.62 crs, and Wipro closed down at Rs 428.70 with volumes of Rs 46.17 crs.

Pharma stocks witnessed negativity with exception: Orchid Chemical closed up at Rs 123.80 with volumes of Rs 77.14 crs, Sun Pharma closed down at Rs 1210.30 with volumes of Rs 61.72 crs, Ranbaxy closed down at Rs 449.15 with volumes of Rs 36.37 crs, and Dr Reddy closed down at Rs 575.30 with volumes of Rs 20.57 crs.

Banking stocks closed mixed: In the Public Sector SBI Bank closed down at Rs 1713.70 with volumes Rs 142.94 crs & Bank Of India closed up at Rs 267.25 with volumes Rs 56.77 crs. In the Private sector ICICI Bank closed down at Rs 843.95 with volume of Rs 361.41 crs & HDFC Bank closed up at Rs 1439.20 with volumes of Rs 177.09 crs.

Auto Stocks ended mixed: Tata Motors closed down at Rs 678.75 with volumes of Rs 119.84 crs & M&M closed down at Rs 679.55 with volumes of Rs 23.40 crs. While in the 2 wheeler segment stocks, Hero Honda closed up at Rs 679.60 with volumes of Rs 26.63 crs, Bajaj Holding closed up at Rs 650.30 with volumes of Rs 11.29 crs.

Cement Stocks showed mixed activity: ACC closed up at Rs 817.45 with volumes of Rs 30.45 crs, India Cement closed up at Rs 194.20 with volumes of Rs 18.61 crs, Ambuja Cement closed down at Rs 122.55 with volumes of Rs 10.58 crs and Madras Cement closed down at Rs 3175 with volumes of Rs 1.36 crs.

Nifty ended at 4829 down by 49 points

 

Cash

Derivative

Name

Close

%

NSE Volumes (Rs. Crs)

NSE F & O Volumes (Rs. Crs) March

RELCAPITAL

1284.05

-3.04

637.69

1224.98

RELIANCE

2299.45

-0.62

536.33

1258.49

ICICI BANK

843.95

-3.97

361.41

291.16

JPASSOCIAT

226.00

-3.13

356.53

396.04

RNRL

99.80

-2.40

336.57

418.54

Click here for A critical daily report from the Dealing Desk of the KRC Broking Division that provides our Investor Client with post-market analysis of the day with an action guide charted for the next day of trading. Good Evening KRC presents the technical viewpoint on the market and stocks and has been indexed into the following segments:
* Earning Idea: Technical calls for short term.
* Market Actions: News specific calls with expected action.
* F & O trading call: Derivative strategy for the day.
* Index Trend: Expected movement of the Sensex with range guidance.

Kisan Ratilal Choksey Shares and Securities Pvt. Ltd.
1102, Stock Exchange Tower, Dalal Street, Mumbai 400 001
Phone: 91-22-56338050 / 66965555. Fax: 5633 8060
Members: BSE & NSE
www.krchoksey.com

Email: customercare@krchoksey.com
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March 26th, 2008 at 1:29 pm

Posted in Good Evening KRC

Bombay Dyeing - Angel Broking Research Report  

Bombay Dyeing has chalked out long-term plans to turn-around its traditional Textile business , curb costs and improve Margins. It has forward-integrated its DMT plant to a PSF plant of 1,65,000 million tonne capacity and has shifted its Home Textile operations from Mumbai to Rajangaon to control operational costs. On the anvil are plans to foray into the Real Estate business also to drive its future revenues. For this, Bombay Dyeing proposes to utilise and capitalise on its historical land bank in Mumbai. We Initiate Coverage on the stock, with a Buy recommendation. Read More

Click Here to download the complete Bombay Dyeing research report, company profile, company background, price chart, investment argument by Angel Broking and to view Bombay Dyeing 12 months target price.

For more stock tips, share market information, demat account opening and online share trading help in Mumbai and India Log on to www.angeltrade.com (top retail broking house in India and Mumbai) or kindly contact sales@angeltrade.com / 022 – 40003630

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March 26th, 2008 at 12:44 am

Indotech Transformers Ltd - KR Choksey Research Report  

Indotech Transformers Ltd

Initiating Coverage

Key Data

CMP Rs 473

Date March 25th 2008

Sector Transformer Industry

Face Value Rs.10

BSE Code 532717

52 Week H/L Rs 807/252

Market Cap Rs 502 Cr

Investment Rationale

Indo Tech Transformers Ltd. (ITTL) was established in 1976 and has till date supplied over ~56,000 transformers of various capacities (upto 100MVA/220KV) to over 3900 customers in India. ITTL has been a regular supplier to southern SEBs (around 75% of ITTL’s sales) and has a market share of around 15% in the southern states.

The company manufactures distribution transformers and power transformers. ITTL has double its transformers manufacturing capacity to 7,450 MVA with the inauguration of its fifth manufacturing facility, with a capacity of 4,000 MVA. The company already has three manufacturing facilities in Chennai and one at Palakkad in Kerala. Further, the objective of setting up the greenfield facility at Kancheepuram was to focus more on manufacturing power transformers up to 315 MVA capacities in 400 KV class.

Key Developments

Enhanced Capacity

ITTL has successfully completed its capacity expansion plan from 3450MVA to 7450MVA. The full fledge financial output from enhanced capacity would be seen from Q1FY09 onwards.

Order Book position

The company has order book of Rs 180crs as of Dec 2007. We expect order inflow to continue on the back of ongoing reforms in T&D sector.

Dry Type Transformers demand to rise

The Dry Type Transformers capacity is fully operational. The order book for Dry Type Transformers stands at Rs 80 lacs. We believe that growing demand for Dry type transformers from realty sector will necessitate expansion in the current capacity.

Earning Visibility

As per the guidance given by the management, revenues & profits are expected to grow at a CAGR of ~37% and ~30% over the next two year.

Financial Performance

Indotech net profit rose 67.90% to Rs 12.22 crore in the Q3FY08 as against Rs 7.28 crore during Q3FY07. While, sales of the company rose 15.70% to Rs 52.09 crore in Q3FY08 as against Rs 45.04 crore during Q3FY07.

Valuations

At current market price of Rs 473, the stock is trading at 12.67x on earnings of Rs 37.34 (TTM Basis). On back of T&D expenditure, healthy order book, enhanced capacity, we put a “Strong Buy” rating on the stock at current levels.

For In-depth Indotech Transformers Ltd research report, company profile along with stock recommendations,  Indotech Transformers Ltd target price and for making informed investment decisions Click Here.

Kisan Ratilal Choksey Shares and Securities Pvt. Ltd.
1102, Stock Exchange Tower, Dalal Street, Mumbai 400 001
Phone: 91-22-56338050 / 66965555. Fax: 5633 8060
Members: BSE & NSE
www.krchoksey.com
Email: customercare@krchoksey.com
            eservices@krchoksey.com

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March 25th, 2008 at 9:43 am

Posted in Between The Lines

Jain Irrigation (JISL) - Angel Broking Research Report  

Jain Irrigation (JISL) has grown its Earnings at a CAGR of 62% over the last three years on the back of strong growth being clocked by its Micro Irrigation, PVC Piping and Food Processing businesses. We believe JISL will maintain this momentum going ahead as well given the governments thrust on Irrigation and Infrastructure Development. We expect JISLs Consolidated Revenues to grow at a healthy CAGR of 43.7% over FY2007-10E, while expansion in OPMs is expected to aid Consolidated PAT to clock CAGR growth of 58.2% over FY2007-10E. We estimate Consolidated OPMs to expand by over 310bp to 17.6% in FY2010E from 14.5% in FY2007. We Initiate Coverage on the stock, with a Buy recommendation. Read More.

Click Here to download the complete Jain Irrigation (JISL)research report, company profile, company background, price chart, investment argument by Angel Broking and to view Jain Irrigation (JISL) 12 months target price.

For more stock tips, share market information, demat account opening and online share trading help in Mumbai and India Log on to www.angeltrade.com (top retail broking house in India and Mumbai) or kindly contact sales@angeltrade.com / 022 – 40003630

 

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March 25th, 2008 at 12:14 am

Titagarh Wagons Ltd (TWL) - Intial Public Offer (ipo)  

Titagarh Wagons Ltd (TWL)

Initial Public Offer

Key Data

Date of Opening 24th March, 2008

Date of Closing 27th March, 2008

Method of Payment Full bid amount at the time of submission

Value @ Rs 540-610 Rs128.72-145.40 Crore

No. of Share Offered 2383768 equity shares

Face Value 10

BRLM’S Kotak Mhindra Capital Company Ltd

Registrar Karvy Computershare Pvt Ltd

Minimum Lot 10 equity shares

Maximum Retail Lot 16 (160 Shares Rs97600/- at Rs.610/- per share)

Post Issue Share Capital 17.08 Crore

Post Issue Market - cap. 922.25-1041.80 Crore.

Investment Rationale

Titagarh Wagons Ltd. (TWL) is a private sector wagon manufacturer in India. primarily engaged in the business of manufacturing railway wagons, Bailey bridges, Heavy Earth Moving and Mining equipment, steel and SG iron castings of moderate to complex configuration etc. We recommend investors to subscribe the issue at cut-off price.

TWL has a strong track record in terms of projects delivery and also has an advantage of support of experienced promoters with long standing industry experience. TWL has been registered with Directorate General of Quality Assurance (DGQA) as an approved manufacturer of Bailey Bridges thus enabling it to capitalize the opportunities available in this segment. On obtaining the Uttarapara unit the company has entered into backward integration which is likely to improve the operational efficiency and thus lead to improvements in margins thereafter. The issue seems to be an attractive investment having a strong future growth.

In a Superior position to capitalize opportunity available in Bailey Bridge segment

TWL is registered with Directorate General of Quality Assurance (DGQA) to manufacture Bailey Bridges and other related accessories in India and has the manufacturing capacity of 72 bridges per annum. Since the competition in this segment is limited, TWL is placed in a good position to capitalize opportunities available in this segment. Further to strengthen its modular steel bridge business, TWL has entered into a MOU with Kawada Industries Inc. for development of double lane modular bridges. This technology will increase the application of modular bridges thereby opening up new business opportunity for the company.

Entrance into vital components through backward integration

TWL has acquired the Uttarpara unit and the steel foundry at the unit has been certified as a Class “A” foundry by the RDSO. Thus TWL has been certified as an approved source for manufacturing bogies and couplers. Thus the company has started using the steel foundry for the manufacturing of bogies and couplers for in-house consumption. This has ensured continued access to vital components for manufacturing wagons. On an average the cost of procurement of bogies and couplers is 14-17 percent of the total selling price of a wagon to the Non-Indian Railway customers. Thus going forward we believe TWL’s in-house production capabilities will help it to maintain access to such critical components at competitive prices.

Follows an Innovative approach

TWL has developed the design of wheel on wheels (WoW) wagons which are specially designed to carry various types of trucks plying on the Indian roads catering to the needs of the logistic industry by providing Roll-on-Roll-off service. Its design of the WoW is under consideration by the Research and Development Standard Organization (RDSO). Further, it has also developed a special wagon for carrying automobiles named the COR (“Cars on Rail”) wagon. The wagons are a double deck wagons designed as per Indian railway standards and are suitable for transporting cars. These wagons are capable to run on the entire Indian railway system including under electrified routes. It has submitted the design for evaluation to the RDSO and also applied for patent for the design. In addition, it continuously endeavors to innovate and develop better management and production techniques which help to improve its overall efficiencies.

Intends to diversify globally and optimize the product mix

The company intends to explore relationships with suppliers and customers in developing markets. Recently TWL exported wagons to Africa. Further with the advantage of backward integration the company intends to set up an axle machining and wheelset assembly shop to achieve a higher level of operational continuity.

Positive outlook for the industry to benefit TWL

As per the Railway Budget 2008-09, incremental loading expected for FY07 was about 600 lakh tones. The freight loading for FY08 has been pegged at 850 Million tonnes and by the terminal year of 11th five year plan the railways are targeting a freight loading of 1100 lakh tonnes. In order to achieve this target the railways are targeting to focus their investments in the freight segment and the wagon manufacturing industry. The market structure the industry enjoys is very much oligopoly which has shifted from monopoly. Here there are few sellers and few buyers hence the demand is actually showing a very elastic approach. The price change of one player will actually affect the price of other players and hence makes it more volatile as the approach of all the players is very much towards huge profit maximization. Now as the Indian Railways has started focusing on the private sector with the help of the above mentioned schemes and companies like Titagarh Wagons Ltd will definitely benefit more.

For In-depth Titagarh Wagons Ltd (TWL) ipo research report, company profile along with Titagarh Wagons Ltd stock recommendations, Titagarh Wagons Ltd target price and for making informed investment decisions Click Here.

Kisan Ratilal Choksey Shares and Securities Pvt. Ltd.
1102, Stock Exchange Tower, Dalal Street, Mumbai 400 001
Phone: 91-22-56338050 / 66965555. Fax: 5633 8060
Members: BSE & NSE
www.krchoksey.com

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March 24th, 2008 at 10:55 am

Posted in Ipo News

24 March 2008 KRC Post Market Analysis  

Market Commentary

 

No. of Scrips

Value (Crs.)

Advances

240

4992

Declines

962

5786

Unchanged

15

33

Total

1217

10813

Market Activity: Key share indices gained 2% led by bank, technology and FMCG shares. A positive trend is U.S. and Asian markets improved sentiment here.

At 10.24AM, Sensex was at 15281.21, up 286.38 points, or 1.9%, from Wednesday’s close. Nifty was at 4632.50, up 58.55 points, or 1.3%.

FMCG shares gained on reports companies may hike product prices. Heavyweights ICICI Bank and Reliance Industries recouped early losses and were up 6% and 0.1%, respectively. The biggest Nifty gainers were HDFC, up 6%, HCL Technologies, up 4%, and HDFC Bank, up 3%. Among the few laggards, Cairn India fell 5%, and Sterlite Industries was down over 2%.

In the mid trading session, indices had pared their early morning gains during the trade as participants resorted to profit booking at the higher levels. The overall market breadth was negative with losers outnumbering gainers by a ratio of 4.5 to 1 on the NSE. While software, banking and FMCG stocks were garnering investors’ interest, select auto, engineering, Pharma and metal stocks were reeling under selling pressure. At 1.00PM, Sensex was trading at 15,087, up 92 points while the Nifty was trading at 4,568, down 5 points. The rupee was trading at 39.88 to the dollar.

Key share indices ended up today amid choppy trade ahead of derivatives expiry Thursday. Shares of banks, software and FNCG companies were major gainers, while realty companies were worst affected. Sensex closed at 15289.40, up 294.57 points, or 1.9%, from Wednesday after moving between 15056.09 and 15351.31 intraday. Nifty ended at 4609.85, up 35.90 points, or 0.8%. It ranged between 4539.80 and 4649.45. HCL Technologies, up 9%, was the top Nifty gainer, which coupled with 6% and 3% rise in Wipro and Infosys Technologies, respectively, supported 1.8% rise in CNX IT Index. Shares of Cairn India and Tata Steel were worst hit on Nifty, down 8% and 7%, respectively.

Sector Activity :

Tech stocks ended positive with expection: Infosys closed up Rs 1360.45 with volumes of Rs 230.70 crs, TCS closed up at Rs 823.70 with volumes of Rs 68.15 crs, Satyam closed down at Rs 390.25 with volumes of Rs 62.08 crs, and Wipro closed up at Rs 398.70 with volumes of Rs 32.89 crs.

Pharma stocks witnessed down trend with exception: Sun Pharma closed up at Rs 1280.50 with volumes of Rs 82.76 crs, Orchid Chemical closed down at Rs 111.65 with volumes of Rs 69.58 crs, Ranbaxy closed down at Rs 446.45 with volumes of Rs 33.11 crs, and Cipla closed flat at Rs 206.30 with volumes of Rs 30.58 crs..

Banking stocks showed positive activity with exception: In the Public Sector SBI Bank closed up at Rs 1644.20 with volumes Rs 126.78 crs & Bank Of India closed up at Rs 244.75 with volumes Rs 24.69 crs. In the Private sector ICICI Bank closed up at Rs 802.20 with volume of Rs 595.63 crs & Axis Bank closed down at Rs 724.95 with volumes of Rs 93.53 crs.

Auto Stocks closed mixed: Tata Motors closed up at Rs 663.20 with volumes of Rs 70.83 crs & M&M closed up at Rs 667.80 with volumes of Rs 64.90 crs. While in the 2 wheeler segment stocks, Hero Honda closed down at Rs 647.70 with volumes of Rs 32.73 crs, Bajaj Holding closed down at Rs 593.40 with volumes of Rs 11.34 crs.

Cement Stocks showed buying opportunity: ACC closed up at Rs 804.65 with volumes of Rs 20.02 crs, India Cement closed up at Rs 171.90 with volumes of Rs 14.79 crs, Ambuja Cement closed up at Rs 124.45 with volumes of Rs 11.27 crs and Madras Cement closed up at Rs 3201 with volumes of Rs 1.91 crs.

Nifty ended at 4610 up by 36 points

 

 

Cash

Derivative

Name

Close

%

NSE Volumes (Rs. Crs)

NSE F & O Volumes (Rs. Crs) March

RELIANCE

2200.25

1.91

644.63

1225.64

ICICIBANK

802.20

4.43

595.63

584.44

RNRL

95.90

-4

371.90

438.63

RELCAPITAL

1129.50

2.57

342.41

602.04

LT

2937.05

3.38

314.58

207.58

 

Click here for A critical daily report from the Dealing Desk of the KRC Broking Division that provides our Investor Client with post-market analysis of the day with an action guide charted for the next day of trading. Good Evening KRC presents the technical viewpoint on the market and stocks and has been indexed into the following segments:
* Earning Idea: Technical calls for short term.
* Market Actions: News specific calls with expected action.
* F & O trading call: Derivative strategy for the day.
* Index Trend: Expected movement of the Sensex with range guidance.

Kisan Ratilal Choksey Shares and Securities Pvt. Ltd.
1102, Stock Exchange Tower, Dalal Street, Mumbai 400 001
Phone: 91-22-56338050 / 66965555. Fax: 5633 8060
Members: BSE & NSE
www.krchoksey.com

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March 24th, 2008 at 10:46 am

Posted in Good Evening KRC

JSW Steel - Angel Broking Research Report  

JSW Steel is one of the largest steel producers in India with a current capacity of 3.8mtpa and is also one of the largest exporters of galvanized products. We believe that significant capacity expansions, enriched product mix and backward integration initiatives into key inputs like coking coal and iron ore will be the key positives for JSW Steels growth going ahead. We expect JSW Steel to record a 28.9% CAGR in consolidated Bottomline over FY2007-10E. At CMP of Rs 935, on consolidated basis, JSW Steel is trading at an EV/EBIDTA of 4.7x on FY2010 EBIDTA and P/E of 6.8x on FY2010E consolidated fully diluted EPS. The company is trading at 20-30% discount to both its domestic and international peers, which we believe is not justified. We Initiate Coverage on the stock, with a Buy recommendation.

Click Here to download the complete JSW Steel research report, company profile, company background, price chart,  investment argument by Angel Broking and to view JSW Steel 12 months target price.

For more stock tips, share market information, demat account opening and online share trading help in Mumbai and India Log on to www.angeltrade.com  (top retail broking house in India and Mumbai) or kindly contact sales@angeltrade.com / 022 – 40003630

 

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March 24th, 2008 at 12:21 am

Dr Reddy’s Ltd. (DRL) - KR Choksey Research Report  

Dr Reddy’s Ltd. (DRL)

Result Update

Key Data

CMP Rs541

Date March 19th 2008

Sector Pharmaceutical

Face Value Rs.5

BSE Code 500124

52 Week H/L Rs 840/580

Market Cap Rs 9097 Cr

Investment Rationale

Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories (DRL) is a leading Indian pharmaceutical company with vertically integrated operations. The company develops, manufactures and markets a wide range of pharmaceutical products in India and overseas. Dr. Reddy’s produces finished dosage forms, active pharmaceutical ingredients, diagnostic kits, critical care and biotechnology products. The company has over 190 finished dosage brands and 60 active pharmaceutical ingredients currently in production.

DRL is a vertically integrated pharmaceutical company with a presence in over 100 countries, and is one of the leading global generic pharmaceutical companies by revenues. The strong portfolio of businesses, geographies and products provide strategic benefits of vertical integration that allow us to excel in an increasingly competitive global market.

GLOBAL PRESENCE

The company has successfully entered the US with both Active Pharmaceuticals Ingredients (API) and Generic Formulations. The company has two US-FDA approved plants. It has been exporting its products to the UK, Switzerland, Germany, Spain, Italy and the Netherlands. It also started exporting its formulations in a big way to Russia and has set up an office there.

Key Developments

Dr Reddys Laboratories enters into drug discovery collaboration with 7TM Pharma Dr Reddy’s Laboratories and the Denmark-based biotech company, 7TM Pharma, have entered into drug discovery collaboration on select drug targets in the area of metabolic disorders. Under the terms of the agreement signed by both the companies, Dr Reddy’s and 7TM Pharma will collaborate to identify clinical candidates for pre-selected targets. They will jointly develop these candidates from the pre-clinical stage up to phase IIa (proof-of concept) stage. On successful completion of a phase IIa study, they may either license-out the candidate for further development and commercialization to a larger pharmaceutical company or continue further co-development and commercialization.

Dr Reddys Laboratories enters into agreement with Skye Pharma PLC

Dr Reddys Laboratories has entered into an agreement with Skye Pharma PLC to undertake a feasibility study of a product utilizing two of Skye Pharma’s proprietary drug delivery systems. The costs of this study will be paid by Dr Reddy’s. Skye Pharma will also receive an upfront payment. If the feasibility study is successful, full development activities will begin later this year.

Dr Reddy’s plans to file 20 new drug applications in 2008

Dr Reddy’s Laboratories Ltd (DRL) India’s second-largest pharma company Dr Reddy’s Laboratories (DRL) is betting big on the US market and plans to file about 15-20 more ANDAs (Abbreviated New Drug Applications) filings to introduce its products in 2008. The company filed about 7 para 4 till third quarter of this fiscal. An ANDA is a filing for a US generic drug approval for an existing patented drug. Once approved, the applicant may market or make the generic drug as a low-cost alternative to the patented product. Major generic companies try to exploit the Para 4 filing as part of ANDA as a strategy to market a drug exclusively without any competition from any other generic company.

Dr Reddy eyeing acquisitions in speciality business

Dr Reddy, with plans to launch its speciality initiative in the dermatology sector in the US later this fiscal, DRL is scouting for small brands or companies with marketed products that would bolster this foray. The speciality initiative involves taking an existing molecule and looking at better delivery systems. The company has also in-licensed three molecules in this space, from two US companies and one European company.

Financial Performance

Dr Reddy’s has posted Q3 FY08 result. The topline has shown a negative growth of 18 percent YoY basis. The EBITDA for the quarter has declined by 39 percent YoY and 8 percent QoQ to Rs 177 crore against Rs 291 crore, Q3 FY07, whereas margins have declined by 25.4 percent to 14.55 percent from 19.5 percent Q3 FY07. The net profit of the company has declined 41 percent YoY and 44 percent QoQ to Rs 62.11 crore. The earnings per share has also declined on QoQ and YoY basis, by 44 percent and 41 percent respectively.

Valuations

At current market price of Rs541 the stock is quoting at a PER 15.64x. On EV/Sales and EV/EBITDA it is available at 2.29x and 11.05x of TTM December 07 earning respectively

For In-depth Dr Reddy’s Ltd. (DRL) company profile and research report along with stock recommendations,  Dr Reddy’s Ltd. (DRL) target price and for making informed investment decisions Click Here.

Kisan Ratilal Choksey Shares and Securities Pvt. Ltd.
1102, Stock Exchange Tower, Dalal Street, Mumbai 400 001
Phone: 91-22-56338050 / 66965555. Fax: 5633 8060
Members: BSE & NSE
www.krchoksey.com

 

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March 19th, 2008 at 1:16 pm

Posted in Between The Lines

19 March 2008 KRC Post Market Analysis  

Market Commentary

 

 

No. of Scrips

Value (Crs.)

Advances

242

4535

Declines

971

8981

Unchanged

7

2

Total

1220

14137

Market Activity: Key share indices were up over 3% tracking overseas markets after U.S. Federal Reserve cut its federal funds rate by 75 basis points Tuesday. However, shares were trading slightly off highs touched at open, when Nifty even crossed the 4700 level as shares gained 4%.

At 10.10AM, Sensex was at 15358.01, up 524.55 points, or 3.5%, from previous close. Nifty was at 4684.30, up 151.30, or 3.3%.

All Sensex and Nifty shares rose, with bank, real estate, and power shares among top gainers. CNX Midcap and S&P CNX 500 indices were up over 3% each. ICICI Bank and State Bank of India rose around 6% each, while Reliance Energy was up 4%. Unitech, up 7%, was the top Nifty gainer.

In the mid trading session, indices recorded some paring of gains during the trade. The overall breadth however remained positive with gainers outnumbering losers by a ratio of 2 to 1 on the NSE. Broad based buying was seen in stocks from the software and telecom sectors. Pharma and engineering stocks were trading mixed.

At 1.00PM, Sensex was trading at 15,192, up 359 points while the Nifty was trading at 4,636, up 103 points. The rupee was trading at 40.44 to the dollar. Engineering stocks were trading mixed. While gains were seen in Punj Lloyd up 5%, L&T up 4% and ABB up 3%, selling pressure had marked trading in Bharat Electronics down 3%, Crompton Greaves down 2% and Suzlon down 2%. Suzlon has, in fact, been one of the major losers from the engineering pack over the past one month. The stock has been impacted not only by the broader market weakness, but also by a large provisioning announcement that the company made a couple of week’s back, which can impact its numbers for the fourth quarter of FY08.

Sensex ended below 15000 today, up 1%, but off highs touched earlier in the session, as investors booked profits ahead of an extended weekend. Weak European markets also weighed. The Indian stock market will remain closed on Thursday and Friday on account of Id-E-Milad and Good Friday holidays. Sensex ended at 14994.83, up 161.37 points or 1.1% from Tuesday. Nifty ended at 4573.95, up 40.95 points or 0.9%. Technology shares led gains, with Satyam Computer Services and Wipro up 5% each. SAIL, up nearly 6%, was the top Nifty gainer. Real estate shares, however, gave up gains, with Unitech ending down 4%. DLF fell 0.1%. Bharat Petroleum Corp, down 7%, was the worst hit on Nifty.

Sector Activity :

Tech stocks ended positive with expection: Infosys closed up Rs 1343.70 with volumes of Rs 261.75 crs, Satyam closed up at Rs 391.15 with volumes of Rs 169.69 crs, TCS closed down at Rs 811.45 with volumes of Rs 89.89 crs, and Wipro closed up at Rs 378.40 with volumes of Rs 45.87 crs.

Pharma stocks witnessed up trend with exception: Orchid Chemical closed up at Rs 116.25 with volumes of Rs 116.35 crs, Sun Pharma closed up at Rs 1259.90 with volumes of Rs 51.50 crs, Ranbaxy closed down at Rs 450.65 with volumes of Rs 40.99 crs, and Cipla closed up at Rs 206.30 with volumes of Rs 37.71 crs.

Banking stocks showed positive activity with exception: In the Public Sector SBI Bank closed up at Rs 1605.05 with volumes Rs 256.31 crs & Bank Of India closed down at Rs 238.10 with volumes Rs 47.74 crs. In the Private sector ICICI Bank closed flat at Rs 768.20 with volume of Rs 609.12 crs & HDFC Bank closed up at Rs 1272.60 with volumes of Rs 163.25 crs.

Auto Stocks ended up with exception: Tata Motors closed up at Rs 650.65 with volumes of Rs 71.98 crs & M&M closed up at Rs 661.20 with volumes of Rs 59.36 crs. While in the 2 wheeler segment stocks, Hero Honda closed down at Rs 650.35 with volumes of Rs 44.79 crs, Bajaj Holding closed up at Rs 644.30 with volumes of Rs 18.80 crs.

Cement Stocks closed positive trend with exception: Ambuja Cement closed up at Rs 122 with volumes of Rs 41.93 crs, ACC closed up at Rs 777.25 with volumes of Rs 27.03 crs, India Cement closed up at Rs 170 with volumes of Rs 21.95 crs and Madras Cement closed down at Rs 3200 with volumes of Rs 6.57 crs.

Nifty ended at 4574 up by 41 points

 

Cash

Derivative

Name

Close

%

NSE Volumes (Rs. Crs)

NSE F & O Volumes (Rs. Crs) March

RELIANCE

2159.10

0.38

746.22

1562.22

RELCAPITAL

1101.25

3.88

622.19

992.39

ICICIBANK

768.20

0.00

608.90

609.12

RNRL

99.90

-1.33

392.63

434.96

JPASSOCIAT

204.00

-1.75

332.36

378.81

 

Click here for A critical daily report from the Dealing Desk of the KRC Broking Division that provides our Investor Client with post-market analysis of the day with an action guide charted for the next day of trading. Good Evening KRC presents the technical viewpoint on the market and stocks and has been indexed into the following segments:
* Earning Idea: Technical calls for short term.
* Market Actions: News specific calls with expected action.
* F & O trading call: Derivative strategy for the day.
* Index Trend: Expected movement of the Sensex with range guidance.

Kisan Ratilal Choksey Shares and Securities Pvt. Ltd.
1102, Stock Exchange Tower, Dalal Street, Mumbai 400 001
Phone: 91-22-56338050 / 66965555. Fax: 5633 8060
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www.krchoksey.com

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Written by K R Choksey

March 19th, 2008 at 12:50 pm

Posted in Good Evening KRC

State Bank Of India LTD (SBI) - KR Choksey Research Report  

State Bank Of India LTD (SBI)

Update: Q3FY08 Results

Key Data

CMP Rs 1592

Date March 18th 2008

Sector Banking

Face Value Rs.10

BSE Code 500112

52 Week H/L Rs 2540/ 908

Market Cap Rs 83787 Cr

Investment Rationale

Results of the bank were head of our and market estimates, net profit of the bank showed robust growth of 69.8 percent yoy to Rs1808.6 crore driven by strong growth in business, improvement in the margins, higher growth in fee and trading income. At CMP of 1592, the bank is trading at 13.2 Dec’07 TTM earnings and 2.3x Dec’07 book value. We expect the profits of the bank to grow by 40 percent to Rs 6358 crore in FY08E and by 15 percent to Rs7311 crore in FY09E. We believe the current market price of the bank is already reflecting the negatives related to farm loan waiver and stock is available below its intrinsic value. We value consolidated SBI at Rs2482 crore ie core banking business at Rs1754, associate banks at Rs310, SBI Fund management at Rs29, SBI Life at Rs324 and other subsidiaries at Rs 65 per share of SBI. We recommend Strong BUY on the stock.

Key Developments

Strong growth in business

Unlike in the earlier quarters, the bank has shown stronger growth in its business, advances of the bank showed higher growth of 26 percent to Rs389733 crore in Q3FY08 and deposits witnessed healthy growth of 26.2 percent to Rs510132. For the year FY08E, we expect the advances of the bank to grow by 25 percent and deposits to grow by 22 percent.

Financial Performance

Net profit showed whopping growth of 70 percent during the quarter

During Q3FY08, net profit of the bank showed robust growth of 69.8 percent to Rs1808.6 crore driven by strong business growth, improvement in the margins, higher growth in fee income and trading income. For first nine months of the current fiscal, net profit of the bank showed healthy growth of 59.0 percent to Rs4846 crore.

Valuations

At CMP of Rs1592, the bank is trading at 13.2x Dec ’07 TTM earnings and 2.3 Dec’07 TTM book value. The stock is corrected 37 percent from its peak levels, the valuations of the bank are attractive at the current levels. We believe the current market price of the bank is already reflecting the negatives related to farm loan waiver and stock is available below its intrinsic value. We value consolidated SBI at Rs2482 crore ie core banking business at Rs1754, associate banks at Rs310, SBI Fund management at Rs29, SBI Life at Rs324 and other subsidiaries at Rs65 per share of SBI.

For In-depth State Bank Of India LTD (SBI) company profile and research report along with stock recommendations,  State Bank Of India LTD (SBI) target price and for making informed investment decisions Click Here.

Kisan Ratilal Choksey Shares and Securities Pvt. Ltd.
1102, Stock Exchange Tower, Dalal Street, Mumbai 400 001
Phone: 91-22-56338050 / 66965555. Fax: 5633 8060
Members: BSE & NSE
www.krchoksey.com

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Written by K R Choksey

March 18th, 2008 at 1:40 pm

Posted in Between The Lines